Betters on Polymarket believe the US Federal Reserve will end its quantitative tightening (QT) program by May, potentially impacting the crypto market. The betting odds on Polymarket show a 100% chance of the Fed ending QT by April 30, with over $6.2 million in trading volume. Polymarket, known for predicting events accurately, is a crypto-based prediction market. QT is a monetary policy tool used by the Fed to reduce liquidity by letting bonds on its balance sheet mature. The current QT regime has been in place since June 2022 to combat inflation. The end of QT could boost the crypto market, as more liquidity may flow into risk assets. Analysts predict a market rally post-QT. The recent macroeconomic shocks have made QT a point of concern. The Fed’s balance sheet reductions may impact the government’s debt ceiling debate. The US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index has been expanding for two consecutive months, signaling a pickup in the business cycle. Bitcoin’s price has historically correlated with the ISM manufacturing PMI. The crypto market may see a reversal of the downtrend with the end of QT and other policy changes at the Fed. The potential impact of these changes on the market remains to be seen, but analysts are optimistic about a bullish trend in the crypto market post-QT.