Bitcoin’s futures market in India shows signs of a potential price cooldown following a significant correction. According to data from CryptoQuant, the BTC-USDT futures leverage ratio has decreased by half since its peak in early 2025, indicating a considerable de-leveraging due to massive liquidations that have sidelined many traders. This adjustment suggests a healthier market reset, positioning Bitcoin for a more stable price recovery. Open interest in Bitcoin has dropped by 28%, from $71.8 billion to $51.8 billion, emphasizing the ongoing deleveraging process. While short-term volatility may occur as a result of fewer market participants influencing prices, this situation sets the stage for long-term stability amid uncertain market conditions. Analysts in India, such as Sina from 21st Capital, believe that Bitcoin has already undergone 75-80% of its correction from $109,000 to $74,500. Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model indicates that a further decline to $72,000-$70,000 would mark the completion of a typical correction cycle. However, he considers $70,000 as the worst-case scenario, assuming no recession occurs. Despite the current macroeconomic challenges, Sina views Bitcoin as undervalued for long-term investors. Meanwhile, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. anticipates sideways movement within a volatility corridor ranging from $75,000 to $96,000. BTC is expected to consolidate within these levels, with caution about dropping below the 365-day moving average, which could lead to a new yearly low below $74,500. The article concludes with a disclaimer that it does not offer investment advice, emphasizing the importance of conducting thorough research before making financial decisions.
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